To create the necessary grouping and start offensive operations from Belarus, the Russians will need at least a month and a half.
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This was told by the commander of the Joint Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Lieutenant-General Sergei Naev, in an interview with RBC-Ukraine.
He assured that so far there are no signs that the invaders are preparing for a ground offensive.
The enemy strike groupings have not been exposed, which reduces the likelihood of surprise actions and a possible invasion in the near future. Information about the real plans of PIK mercenaries against Ukraine and partner countries is under control, Naev said.
Earlier it was reported that the “Wagnerites” in Belarus are poorly armed and not funded, so they do not pose a direct threat now. Janis Sarts, director of the NATO Center of Excellence in the field of strategic communications, stated this.
Despite this, according to the official, some of the mercenaries that Russia has redeployed to Belarus are former special forces, so it is likely that they may be preparing sabotage on the border with Ukraine and NATO countries.
However, Sarts argues, there are no signs that anyone is seriously ready to finance such Wagner operations.
British intelligence believes that the Kremlin probably delegated funding to the “Wagnerites” in Belarus. The NDP is planning to reorganize.
UK Department of Defense analysts note that after the failed mercenary mutiny in June 2023, the Russian government acted against the business interests of Wagner owner Yevgeny Prigozhin.
There is a real possibility that the Kremlin is no longer funding the group. If the Russian state no longer pays Wagner, then the other most likely payer is the Belarusian authorities, according to British intelligence.
At the same time, analysts note that a large military contingent will entail a significant and potentially undesirable depletion of the modest Belarusian budget, so the VAT may be reorganized in the direction of reduction.
Source: Racurs
I am David Wyatt, a professional writer and journalist for Buna Times. I specialize in the world section of news coverage, where I bring to light stories and issues that affect us globally. As a graduate of Journalism, I have always had the passion to spread knowledge through writing.