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ISW: “Prigozhin’s Star” in Russia began to fade

The businessman did not fulfill his promises to get Bakhmut himself, and Putin once again trusted the Russian Defense Ministry.

After the failures of the military of the Russian Federation near Bakhmut in the Donetsk region, the “star” of the founder of the PMC Wagner Evgenia Prigogine began to fade. Russian President Vladimir Putin has decided to stop relying on the irregular forces of a businessman and has once again put his trust in the military, according to a January 22 report from the American Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

It was noted that the Russian leader is likely to turn to Prigozhin and his ally, General Sergei Surovikin, with a request to strengthen their war positions and undermine the will of Ukraine and its supporters in the West after regular forces military of the Russian Federation suffered disaster. setbacks.

“Putin apparently decided to give Prigozhin and Surovikin a chance to show what they can do with mobilized prisoners on the one hand, and a brutal air campaign against Ukrainian civilian infrastructure on the other. The same attempts have failed,” said analysts.

They believe that the President of the Russian Federation has once again trusted General Valery Gerasimov, Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and the ordinary Russian military.

Putin’s decision, according to experts, is letting the group down Wagner and a group of “siloviks” who, however, continue to fight in Ukraine. He is also trying to restore the credibility and reputation of the Russian Ministry of Defense, which was hit hard by recessions in 2022 and attacked for months by the “siloviki” group.

“Prigozhin probably thought that his efforts in Ukraine would continue to bring military and political power to Russia… The intensification of the battle for Bakhmut in December 2022 and its subsequent climax may also be evidence that he tried by Prigozhin and failed to overpower the RF Ministry of Defense until early 2023. Prigozhin’s recent apparent downfall likely reflects the real limits of his de facto power,” the report said.

ISW added that the businessman is unlikely to leave Putin’s circle forever and could still rise if Gerasimov fails the Russian president again.

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Source: korrespondent

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