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The NBU announced an optimistic scenario for the economy

Photo: t.me/V_Zelenskiy_official

Ukraine’s economy could fall by a third this year and quickly recover next year, according to the central bank.

According to optimistic forecasts, the Ukrainian economy will collapse by a third this year and will show a rapid recovery next year. The economic situation during the war was assessed by Deputy Head of the National Bank Serhiy Nikolaychuk in an interview with the agency Interfax-Ukraine.

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“But there could be worse situations,” he said.

The representative of the NBU confirmed the forecast of the EBRD, according to which, after a decrease of 30% this year, next year the economy will grow by 25%. This is possible under a number of assumptions.

“One of them, of course, is the end of the conflict. The second is the resumption of large -scale support for Ukraine from international partners. Under such conditions, such a rapid recovery can really come true,” he said. said Nikolaychuk.

Note that the World Bank predicts a decrease in Ukraine’s GDP of approximately 45% in 2022. According to Ukraine, GDP will fall by 44%.

According to the Ministry of Finance, Ukraine is losing $ 5 billion per month due to the war, which is 5% of GDP.

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Source: korrespondent

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